Eindhoven AV vs Geldrop analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
38.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-65%
-37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
2º
13º
13º
31
4º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
52 | 53 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 49 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 37 |
6º
|
87% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 36 |
7º
|
74.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
38.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
31 | 32 |
9º
|
26% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
20% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
55% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
65% | |
|
|
13º
|
18 | 22 |
13º
|
94% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 18 |
14º
|
94% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 93.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 6.5% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eindhoven AV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
TZA
3 - 1
EAV
40%
22%
38%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
EAV
0 - 1
SCK
47%
22%
31%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
EAV
2 - 4
RKV
43%
21%
36%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
ERP
1 - 0
EAV
34%
22%
44%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -2 |
| 30 Mar. 2023 |
EAV
2 - 3
VOA
76%
14%
10%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Geldrop
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
GEL
2 - 1
ERP
45%
21%
34%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
FCB
3 - 0
GEL
57%
21%
23%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
GEL
1 - 0
DOS
78%
14%
9%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
VOA
0 - 0
GEL
21%
20%
59%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
GEL
0 - 0
RKS
58%
19%
23%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |