Evreux 27 vs Racing Paris analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.3%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.5%
1-0
4%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.6%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
73.5%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.6%
0-2
15.9%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.6%
0-3
10.9%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
14.3%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
3º
11º
11º
56
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
56 | 59 |
2º
|
95% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
95% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
65.5% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 46 |
5º
|
65.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
26.5% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
73.5% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
31 | 35 |
11º
|
47.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
12º
|
47.5% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 28 |
13º
|
59.5% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 26 |
14º
|
59.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
47.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
52.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Evreux 27
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
CHA
0 - 2
EVR
76%
16%
9%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
EVR
1 - 1
VOL
34%
28%
38%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
STP
0 - 0
EVR
62%
22%
16%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
EVR
2 - 1
CAE
40%
25%
35%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
GUI
2 - 2
EVR
56%
23%
22%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Racing Paris
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
RAC
2 - 0
VAN
75%
17%
8%
|
72 | 42 | 30 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
GRA
2 - 2
RAC
11%
20%
69%
|
73 | 47 | 26 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
CHA
0 - 0
RAC
13%
21%
66%
|
73 | 49 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
RAC
2 - 1
VOL
78%
16%
6%
|
73 | 39 | 34 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
STP
0 - 3
RAC
10%
20%
70%
|
73 | 46 | 27 | 0 |