Evian Thonon Gaillard vs Guingamp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
18.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Evian Thonon Gaillard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
NAN
3 - 0
ETG
33%
27%
40%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
ETG
1 - 1
GIR
38%
25%
37%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
LIL
3 - 0
ETG
67%
19%
14%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
ETG
2 - 2
MPL
42%
25%
33%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
AJA
2 - 3
ETG
33%
28%
38%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
GUI
2 - 0
REN
37%
26%
37%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
NIC
1 - 0
GUI
59%
24%
17%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2013 |
GUI
5 - 1
SOC
44%
25%
31%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
REI
1 - 1
GUI
50%
26%
25%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
GUI
1 - 1
BAS
47%
24%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |