Everton vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.1%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
17.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1899 |
SHW
1 - 2
EVE
30%
24%
46%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1899 |
BOL
2 - 4
EVE
26%
24%
50%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1899 |
LIV
2 - 0
EVE
36%
25%
40%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 1899 |
EVE
2 - 0
PNE
68%
19%
14%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 1899 |
NEW
2 - 2
EVE
32%
24%
45%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1899 |
SUN
3 - 0
WOL
51%
24%
25%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1899 |
SHW
0 - 1
SUN
37%
25%
38%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1899 |
WBA
1 - 0
SUN
31%
26%
43%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1899 |
BOL
6 - 1
SUN
28%
26%
47%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 1899 |
SUN
1 - 1
NTT
58%
23%
19%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |