Europa League Knock-out stages 1/32
Global 3-4
Everton vs Standard de Liège analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
16.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
STO
2 - 3
EVE
25%
28%
47%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
EVE
0 - 3
OPA
57%
24%
19%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
WBA
1 - 2
EVE
34%
28%
38%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
EVE
2 - 3
BBU
51%
25%
24%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
EVE
3 - 1
NEW
55%
24%
21%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Standard de Liège
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
SDL
2 - 0
KVK
66%
20%
14%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
KSV
1 - 1
SDL
23%
26%
51%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2008 |
LIV
1 - 0
SDL
76%
16%
8%
|
86 | 94 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
SDL
3 - 0
KVC
71%
18%
11%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
DEN
1 - 3
SDL
22%
26%
52%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |