Everton vs Southampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
17.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
WOL
2 - 2
EVE
21%
23%
56%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
EVE
2 - 3
VCF
39%
26%
35%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
REN
4 - 1
EVE
29%
25%
46%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2018 |
BBU
3 - 0
EVE
21%
23%
56%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
FCP
1 - 0
EVE
57%
22%
21%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
SOU
0 - 0
BUR
45%
26%
28%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
SOU
0 - 3
MON
34%
26%
41%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2018 |
SOU
3 - 2
CEL
31%
26%
42%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
SOU
2 - 0
DIJ
55%
24%
22%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
DER
3 - 0
SOU
30%
27%
43%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |