Everton vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.6%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
16.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1966 |
AAB
0 - 0
EVE
47%
24%
30%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1966 |
LEE
1 - 1
EVE
61%
21%
18%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1966 |
EVE
5 - 4
WBA
45%
24%
31%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1966 |
SHE
0 - 0
EVE
42%
26%
33%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1966 |
EVE
1 - 1
BUR
43%
25%
32%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1966 |
NEW
1 - 1
FUL
49%
24%
27%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1966 |
NTT
3 - 0
NEW
55%
22%
23%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1966 |
NEW
1 - 1
BUR
33%
25%
42%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1966 |
NEW
1 - 3
WBA
35%
25%
40%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1966 |
MUD
3 - 2
NEW
76%
15%
10%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |