Europa League Round 4

Everton vs Lille analysis

Everton Lille
89 ELO 86
7.3% Tilt -5%
83º General ELO ranking 22º
15º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
63.5%
Everton
20.9%
Draw
15.6%
Lille

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.5%
Win probability
Everton
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
15.6%
Win probability
Lille
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Everton
+7%
-2%
Lille

ELO progression

Everton
Lille
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Everton
Everton
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Nov. 2014
EVE
Everton
0 - 0
Swansea City
SWA
67%
19%
14%
89 85 4 0
26 Oct. 2014
BUR
Burnley
1 - 3
Everton
EVE
19%
25%
56%
89 75 14 0
23 Oct. 2014
LIL
Lille
0 - 0
Everton
EVE
34%
27%
39%
89 87 2 0
18 Oct. 2014
EVE
Everton
3 - 0
Aston Villa
ASV
72%
17%
11%
89 82 7 0
05 Oct. 2014
MUD
Manchester United
2 - 1
Everton
EVE
61%
22%
17%
89 91 2 0

Matches

Lille
Lille
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Nov. 2014
LIL
Lille
1 - 1
Saint-Étienne
ASS
47%
27%
26%
86 86 0 0
26 Oct. 2014
REN
Stade Rennais
2 - 0
Lille
LIL
36%
26%
37%
86 81 5 0
23 Oct. 2014
LIL
Lille
0 - 0
Everton
EVE
34%
27%
39%
87 89 2 -1
18 Oct. 2014
LIL
Lille
1 - 2
Guingamp
GUI
65%
21%
13%
87 77 10 0
05 Oct. 2014
LYO
Olympique Lyonnais
3 - 0
Lille
LIL
46%
26%
28%
87 86 1 0