Q. Europa League Play-off. Final
Global 3-1
Everton vs HNK Hajduk Split analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.7%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
13.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
EVE
1 - 0
STO
64%
20%
16%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
EVE
2 - 2
SEV
47%
24%
28%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2017 |
RUZ
0 - 1
EVE
25%
25%
51%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2017 |
EVE
1 - 0
RUZ
73%
17%
10%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
GNK
1 - 1
EVE
34%
26%
40%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
HNK Hajduk Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2017 |
HKS
1 - 0
SLA
73%
18%
10%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
DZG
3 - 1
HKS
52%
23%
24%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2017 |
HKS
2 - 0
BIF
53%
23%
24%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
HNK
1 - 2
HKS
13%
22%
65%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2017 |
BIF
0 - 0
HKS
41%
26%
33%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |