Everton vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
26.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1927 |
BOL
5 - 0
EVE
62%
20%
18%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1927 |
EVE
0 - 0
MUD
58%
22%
20%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1927 |
DER
0 - 0
EVE
56%
21%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1927 |
EVE
2 - 0
SHE
46%
24%
31%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1927 |
ARS
1 - 2
EVE
58%
21%
21%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1927 |
LEE
2 - 1
BIR
44%
25%
31%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1927 |
BIR
2 - 0
NEW
41%
26%
33%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1927 |
BIR
6 - 1
BOL
40%
26%
33%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1927 |
BUR
0 - 2
BIR
65%
18%
17%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1927 |
ASV
4 - 2
BIR
63%
19%
18%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |