Everton vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.6%
24.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 1936 |
EVE
7 - 0
DER
66%
17%
17%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1936 |
EVE
3 - 0
GRI
64%
18%
18%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 1936 |
CHA
2 - 0
EVE
41%
23%
36%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 1936 |
EVE
1 - 1
STO
70%
16%
14%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1936 |
CHL
4 - 0
EVE
48%
22%
30%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 1936 |
ARS
4 - 1
PNE
73%
16%
12%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1936 |
ARS
4 - 1
CHL
71%
16%
13%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 1936 |
OPA
1 - 5
ARS
42%
24%
34%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1936 |
ARS
1 - 3
MAC
69%
17%
14%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1936 |
WBA
2 - 4
ARS
51%
21%
28%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |