Etoile Sahel vs Olympique Béja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
15.1%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
2º
8º
3º
14
2º
8º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
32 | 32 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 26 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
25 | 25 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
24 | 24 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 20 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 16 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
15 | 15 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
14 | 14 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 12 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 9 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 9 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
5 | 5 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 3 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Etoile Sahel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
ETO
3 - 0
ASS
55%
25%
20%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
STA
0 - 1
ETO
41%
29%
29%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2023 |
ETO
1 - 1
CLU
56%
26%
18%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
EGS
0 - 3
ETO
33%
29%
38%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2023 |
ETO
1 - 0
BEN
59%
24%
17%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Olympique Béja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
CLU
3 - 1
OLY
50%
28%
22%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
OLY
1 - 0
EGS
53%
26%
21%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
BEN
0 - 1
OLY
48%
28%
25%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
OLY
2 - 1
ASS
36%
30%
34%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
STA
3 - 0
OLY
50%
29%
22%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |