Etoile Carouge vs Naters analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
19.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Etoile Carouge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
ETO
3 - 0
FCA
81%
12%
7%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
FRI
1 - 1
ETO
44%
22%
34%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2018 |
ECH
1 - 3
ETO
59%
20%
21%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
ETO
6 - 1
FRI
65%
18%
17%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
FCA
4 - 6
ETO
34%
22%
44%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Naters
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
NAT
2 - 2
YOU
26%
22%
52%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
VEV
4 - 0
NAT
50%
23%
28%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -2 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
NAT
2 - 4
LAU
50%
22%
27%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -2 |
| 26 May. 2018 |
NAT
5 - 3
DUD
66%
18%
16%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
VEV
0 - 0
NAT
46%
25%
29%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |