Challenge League Relegation Play-offs Round 13

Etoile Carouge vs AC Bellinzona analysis

Etoile Carouge AC Bellinzona
62 ELO 67
-10.7% Tilt -10.2%
1150º General ELO ranking 1650º
18º Country ELO ranking 21º
ELO win probability
37.1%
Etoile Carouge
27.5%
Draw
35.3%
AC Bellinzona

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.2%
Win probability
Etoile Carouge
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
35.3%
Win probability
AC Bellinzona
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Etoile Carouge
-13%
-7%
AC Bellinzona

ELO progression

Etoile Carouge
AC Bellinzona
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Etoile Carouge
Etoile Carouge
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Apr. 2002
FCV
FC Vaduz
3 - 0
Etoile Carouge
ETO
58%
22%
20%
64 65 1 0
25 Apr. 2002
ETO
Etoile Carouge
0 - 1
Baden
BAD
43%
26%
31%
64 63 1 0
20 Apr. 2002
ETO
Etoile Carouge
2 - 0
Yverdon
YVE
23%
25%
52%
63 75 12 +1
13 Apr. 2002
LOC
Locarno
2 - 0
Etoile Carouge
ETO
52%
25%
23%
64 64 0 -1
06 Apr. 2002
ETO
Etoile Carouge
0 - 2
Concordia Basel
CON
60%
22%
18%
65 56 9 -1

Matches

AC Bellinzona
AC Bellinzona
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Apr. 2002
BEL
AC Bellinzona
1 - 2
Yverdon
YVE
38%
25%
37%
67 73 6 0
25 Apr. 2002
LOC
Locarno
0 - 2
AC Bellinzona
BEL
47%
25%
27%
66 65 1 +1
20 Apr. 2002
BEL
AC Bellinzona
0 - 1
FC Vaduz
FCV
54%
22%
23%
67 65 2 -1
13 Apr. 2002
BAD
Baden
0 - 0
AC Bellinzona
BEL
44%
25%
31%
67 62 5 0
06 Apr. 2002
BEL
AC Bellinzona
2 - 5
SC Kriens
KRI
54%
24%
22%
68 67 1 -1