Ethiopia vs Somalia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.4%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
21.5%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.7%
4.9%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ethiopia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2002 |
ETH
0 - 3
UGA
39%
26%
35%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2002 |
ETH
1 - 0
GIN
40%
26%
34%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2002 |
NER
3 - 1
ETH
33%
25%
41%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2002 |
EGY
4 - 1
ETH
79%
14%
7%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2002 |
SDN
3 - 0
ETH
39%
26%
35%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Somalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2002 |
RWA
1 - 0
SOM
74%
16%
10%
|
42 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
UGA
2 - 0
SOM
87%
9%
3%
|
42 | 72 | 30 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2001 |
ERI
0 - 0
SOM
30%
24%
46%
|
43 | 8 | 35 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2001 |
KEN
3 - 0
SOM
81%
14%
6%
|
43 | 68 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2001 |
RWA
3 - 0
SOM
74%
16%
10%
|
44 | 62 | 18 | -1 |