Ethiopia vs Guinea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
57.7%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ethiopia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
GUI
4 - 1
ETH
72%
18%
10%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2024 |
ETH
0 - 2
COD
21%
23%
56%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
TAN
0 - 0
ETH
46%
26%
29%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
DJI
1 - 1
ETH
11%
17%
72%
|
60 | 34 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
GNB
0 - 0
ETH
27%
23%
50%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
GUI
4 - 1
ETH
72%
18%
10%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
GUI
1 - 2
TAN
71%
19%
11%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
COD
1 - 0
GUI
43%
25%
32%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2024 |
GUI
0 - 1
MOZ
68%
19%
13%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
ALG
1 - 2
GUI
75%
16%
9%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | +1 |