Ethe Belmont vs Messancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.3%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
12%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
12%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
12%
5.7%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-59%
+57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ethe Belmont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
CHA
1 - 0
EBE
18%
20%
62%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
EBE
5 - 1
ROS
82%
13%
6%
|
39 | 19 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
MEI
3 - 2
EBE
18%
21%
61%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | -2 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
EBE
2 - 0
LIB
71%
17%
12%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
OPP
0 - 2
EBE
17%
20%
63%
|
40 | 22 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Messancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
MES
0 - 4
LON
19%
21%
60%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
BOM
3 - 0
MES
79%
13%
8%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
MES
0 - 1
BAS
53%
22%
25%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
HAL
0 - 2
MES
48%
23%
30%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
CHA
3 - 0
MES
63%
19%
18%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |