Tecos vs Necaxa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
26.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tecos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2012 |
EST
0 - 3
DOR
60%
21%
18%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
LOB
1 - 3
EST
38%
26%
36%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
EST
0 - 0
TOR
60%
23%
17%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2012 |
DOR
2 - 0
EST
37%
24%
39%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
CAZ
0 - 0
EST
20%
24%
56%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2012 |
PUM
2 - 2
NEC
25%
27%
48%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
TOR
3 - 3
NEC
45%
29%
27%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
NEC
3 - 1
MER
62%
23%
15%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2012 |
NEC
2 - 0
PUM
68%
20%
12%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
PUM
1 - 1
NEC
26%
30%
45%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |