Tecos vs Leones Negros II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
37.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tecos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
CHI
2 - 1
EST
29%
26%
45%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
EST
2 - 2
TEM
37%
26%
37%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
NEX
3 - 0
EST
52%
23%
25%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
EST
0 - 2
DUR
60%
22%
18%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
GUA
1 - 0
EST
38%
26%
36%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Leones Negros II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
TEM
2 - 0
LEO
47%
25%
27%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
LEO
3 - 0
NEX
57%
23%
20%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
LEO
0 - 3
ORI
44%
26%
30%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2018 |
ORI
3 - 1
LEO
49%
26%
26%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -3 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
LEO
1 - 0
CHA
45%
25%
29%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |