Tecos vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
43.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tecos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2002 |
MOR
4 - 1
EST
79%
13%
8%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2002 |
EST
1 - 3
MOR
37%
24%
39%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
EST
2 - 0
JAG
50%
24%
27%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
AME
2 - 1
EST
75%
16%
10%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
EST
3 - 2
PUE
51%
24%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
PUM
3 - 2
CAZ
58%
21%
21%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2002 |
CAZ
0 - 0
PUM
60%
21%
19%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2002 |
CAZ
0 - 2
PUM
63%
20%
17%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
CAZ
1 - 1
TOR
75%
16%
9%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
JAG
1 - 2
CAZ
30%
27%
44%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |