Estudiantes La Plata vs San Lorenzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
14.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes La Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 1979 |
CEN
3 - 1
EST
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1979 |
EST
1 - 0
ATL
70%
18%
12%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1979 |
EST
1 - 0
ALB
76%
15%
9%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 1979 |
IND
5 - 3
EST
62%
21%
17%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 1979 |
EST
5 - 3
COL
60%
22%
19%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 1979 |
SLO
3 - 1
CHA
66%
20%
14%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1979 |
BOC
3 - 2
SLO
67%
20%
13%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1979 |
SLO
1 - 1
FER
57%
23%
20%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1979 |
CEN
1 - 1
SLO
60%
23%
17%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1979 |
SLO
2 - 1
ATL
60%
23%
18%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |