Estudiantes de Mérida vs Trujillanos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
30.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
ZUL
1 - 2
EST
64%
22%
14%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
TRU
1 - 3
EST
54%
24%
22%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2016 |
EST
2 - 1
DEP
18%
23%
58%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
EST
1 - 0
ZAM
17%
21%
62%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
EST
4 - 1
ESC
38%
26%
36%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Trujillanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
TRU
0 - 2
ANZ
39%
28%
33%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
LAR
3 - 1
TRU
52%
24%
24%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
TRU
1 - 3
EST
54%
24%
22%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
ZUL
3 - 0
TRU
31%
24%
45%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
TRU
2 - 0
ZAM
30%
25%
46%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |