Estudiantes de Mérida vs Deportivo Lara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.5%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
37.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2019 |
LLA
0 - 0
EST
16%
24%
60%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2018 |
TAC
3 - 1
EST
56%
23%
22%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
EST
0 - 0
TAC
43%
27%
30%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
ESC
3 - 2
EST
17%
22%
61%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
EST
3 - 1
ATL
47%
25%
28%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
LAR
0 - 1
CFC
57%
24%
19%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2019 |
TAC
3 - 2
LAR
48%
25%
27%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2018 |
ZAM
4 - 0
LAR
46%
26%
28%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
LAR
1 - 1
ZAM
50%
24%
26%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
DEP
0 - 1
LAR
45%
26%
28%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |