Estudiantes de Mérida vs La Guaira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
19.6%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
39.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2020 |
NAC
1 - 0
EST
68%
19%
12%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
EST
2 - 1
ATL
53%
26%
21%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2020 |
EST
1 - 2
RAC
18%
23%
60%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
YAR
2 - 1
EST
16%
26%
58%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
EST
4 - 0
CAR
47%
27%
26%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
La Guaira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
DEP
2 - 2
YAR
75%
17%
8%
|
74 | 52 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
CAR
0 - 0
DEP
28%
29%
44%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
DEP
2 - 0
POR
71%
19%
10%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
LAL
1 - 2
DEP
18%
27%
56%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
DEP
0 - 1
CFC
51%
26%
23%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -2 |