Estudiantes de Mérida vs Carabobo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
36.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2005 |
TAC
1 - 1
EST
61%
22%
17%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
EST
0 - 2
MON
42%
25%
34%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2005 |
EST
0 - 0
CFC
34%
26%
41%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
TRU
2 - 2
EST
38%
26%
35%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
EST
0 - 0
MIR
44%
25%
32%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Carabobo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2005 |
CAR
0 - 1
MIN
46%
26%
28%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
MAR
3 - 2
CAR
56%
24%
19%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
CAR
2 - 2
MON
53%
24%
23%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
ITA
3 - 0
CAR
47%
25%
28%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2005 |
TAC
3 - 2
CAR
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |