Sportivo Estudiantes vs Sportivo Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
29.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportivo Estudiantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2022 |
FER
2 - 0
CSE
42%
28%
30%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
CSE
0 - 1
JUU
38%
28%
34%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
LIN
1 - 2
CSE
41%
27%
32%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
CDC
0 - 2
CSE
26%
27%
46%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
CSE
4 - 0
CDA
37%
26%
37%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Sportivo Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2022 |
SPE
3 - 1
DCM
55%
25%
20%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
DES
0 - 0
SPE
34%
28%
38%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
SPE
1 - 2
CIP
49%
26%
25%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
SPE
0 - 1
VIL
37%
29%
34%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
CIB
1 - 1
SPE
42%
26%
32%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |