Estudiantes de Caracas vs UCV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.9%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
17%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
11.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes de Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
DEP
1 - 2
ESC
27%
25%
48%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
ESC
2 - 1
GVA
75%
16%
9%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
ANG
1 - 0
ESC
22%
24%
54%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
ESC
1 - 3
MIN
72%
18%
10%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | -2 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
ESC
4 - 1
ARR
66%
21%
13%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
UCV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
UCV
5 - 3
MAR
28%
24%
48%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
MON
1 - 1
UCV
69%
19%
12%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
UCV
1 - 2
DIA
31%
25%
44%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
ARR
0 - 3
UCV
66%
19%
15%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | +3 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
DEP
3 - 1
UCV
56%
22%
22%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -1 |