Estudiantes de Caracas vs At. Venezuela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.8%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
22.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes de Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2015 |
TAC
4 - 0
ESC
72%
18%
10%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
ESC
0 - 0
DEP
28%
28%
44%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
ZAM
2 - 0
ESC
65%
21%
15%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
ESC
0 - 0
CFC
33%
29%
38%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
TUC
0 - 1
ESC
31%
29%
41%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
At. Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 0
EST
45%
27%
29%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
MIR
0 - 2
ATL
30%
32%
37%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 2
ARA
35%
29%
36%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
CAR
2 - 0
ATL
56%
27%
18%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 2
POR
63%
22%
15%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |