CA Estudiantes vs Ferro Carril Oeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
26.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Estudiantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
EST
2 - 2
TEM
42%
27%
31%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
MOR
1 - 0
EST
35%
29%
36%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
EST
2 - 0
BAR
62%
23%
15%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
AGR
0 - 1
EST
39%
28%
33%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
EST
5 - 3
SMA
30%
29%
42%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Ferro Carril Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
CHI
1 - 1
FER
34%
28%
38%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2020 |
FER
2 - 1
EST
45%
29%
26%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
MIT
0 - 1
FER
34%
28%
38%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
ATL
2 - 1
FER
48%
26%
26%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
FER
1 - 0
IRV
48%
27%
25%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |