CA Estudiantes vs Excursionistas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
17%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Estudiantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
MOR
2 - 0
EST
51%
27%
23%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
EST
3 - 2
TAL
64%
22%
14%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
EST
2 - 3
COL
55%
25%
20%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
ACA
1 - 1
EST
26%
28%
46%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2016 |
EST
2 - 1
COM
48%
28%
25%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Excursionistas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
EXC
1 - 1
SUA
42%
27%
31%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2017 |
RIE
1 - 3
EXC
56%
25%
20%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2016 |
DEF
2 - 0
EXC
48%
30%
23%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
EXC
1 - 1
ALM
46%
26%
28%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
STM
0 - 1
EXC
53%
26%
21%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |