Estudiantes Alcorcon vs Hogar-70 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
40.4%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes Alcorcon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
POR
4 - 3
ESA
54%
19%
27%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
ESA
2 - 0
CDE
32%
21%
47%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +2 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
INT
6 - 0
ESA
85%
10%
5%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
PEL
6 - 4
ESA
53%
20%
28%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
ESA
1 - 3
CDC
25%
21%
54%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Hogar-70
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
HOG
3 - 2
CDE
51%
20%
29%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
MCF
6 - 1
HOG
72%
15%
13%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
HOG
2 - 0
CHA
42%
22%
36%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
NDR
1 - 0
HOG
64%
18%
18%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
HOG
2 - 3
ROB
13%
15%
72%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |