La Estrella vs Paradas B. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
33.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Estrella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
YEY
2 - 1
BRE
59%
22%
20%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
EST
1 - 1
YEY
61%
20%
19%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
YEY
1 - 0
ADC
41%
27%
32%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2006 |
SAN
2 - 0
YEY
50%
23%
27%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2005 |
AGU
1 - 2
YEY
29%
24%
47%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Paradas B.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
PAR
0 - 2
BET
37%
24%
39%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
BRE
0 - 1
PAR
27%
25%
49%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
PAR
3 - 0
VIS
43%
25%
32%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +2 |
| 08 Jan. 2006 |
EST
5 - 0
PAR
58%
21%
21%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2005 |
MAR
0 - 1
PAR
49%
24%
27%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +1 |