Estrella vs Lanzarote analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
23.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1981 |
TAM
1 - 0
EST
70%
19%
11%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1981 |
EST
3 - 1
RAF
66%
20%
14%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1981 |
TEA
2 - 1
EST
55%
25%
21%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 May. 1981 |
EST
1 - 2
TCF
55%
24%
21%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1981 |
RAC
1 - 1
EST
56%
24%
20%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lanzarote
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1981 |
TEL
1 - 2
LAN
61%
21%
18%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1981 |
RAF
2 - 1
LAN
44%
27%
29%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 1981 |
LAN
1 - 1
UDO
70%
20%
10%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1981 |
LAN
1 - 0
TEL
55%
23%
23%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1981 |
UDS
0 - 2
LAN
37%
29%
34%
|
24 | 12 | 12 | 0 |