Estrella vs Orotava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
31.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+58%
+74%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1983 |
REA
2 - 2
EST
71%
18%
11%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1983 |
EST
1 - 1
SDT
34%
26%
40%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 1983 |
LAN
1 - 0
EST
66%
21%
13%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 1983 |
EST
1 - 1
GUI
37%
28%
35%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 1983 |
TOR
2 - 0
EST
65%
21%
14%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Orotava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1983 |
MAR
1 - 1
UDO
47%
27%
26%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1983 |
UDO
4 - 1
REA
69%
19%
12%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 1983 |
SDT
2 - 1
UDO
67%
20%
14%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 1983 |
UDO
5 - 1
LAN
68%
20%
13%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 1983 |
GUI
1 - 1
UDO
64%
22%
14%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |