Estrella vs Costa Ayala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.7%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
10.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+99%
-52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2022 |
DOR
2 - 1
EST
23%
23%
55%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2021 |
BAR
0 - 2
EST
8%
13%
79%
|
21 | 9 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2021 |
EST
0 - 0
UNI
33%
23%
45%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
TER
3 - 3
EST
40%
24%
36%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2021 |
EST
2 - 1
UCA
85%
11%
5%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Costa Ayala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
TAR
3 - 2
COS
16%
18%
67%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2022 |
COS
4 - 1
LON
62%
19%
20%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2021 |
COS
2 - 2
UCA
75%
15%
10%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2021 |
COS
1 - 1
DPV
68%
17%
15%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
COS
1 - 1
BLP
24%
21%
56%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |