Estrella Atlético vs UD Los Vélez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.9%
18.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+66%
-120%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrella Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2024 |
EST
0 - 0
SDT
65%
18%
17%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2024 |
ING
1 - 2
EST
18%
19%
63%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2024 |
EST
3 - 0
FBT
65%
17%
17%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2024 |
DOR
1 - 2
EST
67%
17%
16%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | +2 |
| 05 Nov. 2024 |
EST
2 - 1
MAR
27%
20%
53%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
UD Los Vélez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2024 |
ING
3 - 7
UDL
36%
22%
43%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2024 |
UDL
1 - 3
DOR
17%
17%
66%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2024 |
ANG
2 - 1
UDL
48%
21%
31%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2024 |
UDL
3 - 2
MAJ
47%
21%
32%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
LRO
3 - 5
UDL
56%
19%
25%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |