Estrela Vermelha vs Costa do Sol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.1%
30.2%
Draw
0-0
12.7%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.2%
33.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrela Vermelha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
FER
0 - 0
EST
53%
26%
21%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
EST
0 - 0
FCC
40%
28%
31%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
PEM
0 - 1
EST
29%
27%
44%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
EST
0 - 1
TEX
47%
27%
26%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
EST
1 - 1
HCB
38%
31%
31%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Costa do Sol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
COS
1 - 0
FER
48%
27%
25%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
DMA
0 - 0
COS
32%
30%
38%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
COS
0 - 1
MAX
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
LIG
2 - 1
COS
57%
24%
19%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
COS
0 - 0
FER
48%
26%
26%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |