Estrela Portalegre vs Mosteirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.7%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.2%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.9%
8.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrela Portalegre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
MON
2 - 3
EPO
15%
19%
65%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
EPO
3 - 0
GAF
80%
13%
7%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | +2 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
SOU
0 - 7
EPO
8%
16%
76%
|
27 | 7 | 20 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
EPO
3 - 3
GAV
65%
19%
16%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
EPO
1 - 5
FAR
22%
24%
55%
|
26 | 65 | 39 | +1 |
Matches
Mosteirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
MOS
0 - 3
CRA
74%
16%
11%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2014 |
FRO
0 - 2
MOS
42%
23%
35%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
TER
1 - 1
MOS
12%
18%
70%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
MOS
0 - 2
MON
53%
22%
25%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
MOS
0 - 4
SAL
19%
22%
59%
|
20 | 44 | 24 | 0 |