Estrela Amadora U23 vs Gil Vicente U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
28.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+41%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
2º
8º
8º
15
4º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 30 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 29 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
19 | 19 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 18 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
17 | 17 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
15 | 15 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 14 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
9 | 9 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrela Amadora U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
EST
1 - 0
SPO
49%
25%
27%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2023 |
POR
1 - 2
EST
42%
24%
34%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2023 |
EST
2 - 1
EST
55%
22%
23%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2023 |
EST
2 - 1
MAF
61%
22%
17%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2023 |
FAR
2 - 2
EST
38%
25%
36%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Gil Vicente U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2023 |
RIO
2 - 1
GIL
19%
20%
62%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
GIL
2 - 3
BRA
55%
23%
22%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2023 |
VIZ
1 - 2
GIL
45%
24%
31%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2023 |
GIL
4 - 2
TOR
83%
11%
6%
|
44 | 21 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2023 |
ACV
0 - 1
GIL
16%
18%
67%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | 0 |