Estoril vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.4%
Win probability
3.96
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.6%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.5%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.4%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
1%
9-2
0.3%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.1%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
2.1%
8-2
0.6%
9-3
0.1%
10-4
<0%
+6
5.9%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
3.7%
7-2
1.3%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
9.9%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
5.6%
6-2
2.2%
7-3
0.5%
8-4
0.1%
+4
14.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
3.4%
6-3
0.9%
7-4
0.2%
8-5
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
4.2%
5-3
1.3%
6-4
0.3%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
14.1%
8.9%
Draw
0-0
0.6%
1-1
2.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
8.8%
6.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1948 |
ACA
1 - 5
EST
24%
19%
57%
|
81 | 54 | 27 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1948 |
EST
0 - 2
SLB
31%
19%
49%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1948 |
BEL
2 - 3
EST
77%
13%
10%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1948 |
EST
6 - 1
SPB
79%
11%
10%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 1948 |
OLH
1 - 4
EST
41%
21%
39%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1948 |
VST
1 - 0
SCP
16%
17%
66%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1948 |
ATL
3 - 0
VST
74%
14%
13%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 1948 |
VST
2 - 0
LUS
72%
15%
13%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 1948 |
FCP
5 - 2
VST
85%
9%
6%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1948 |
VST
1 - 1
VIT
59%
21%
21%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |