Estoril vs União Madeira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
21.7%
14.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
ORI
3 - 2
EST
15%
22%
63%
|
79 | 56 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
TON
0 - 1
EST
25%
27%
48%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
EST
1 - 0
SPB
32%
27%
41%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
FCP
2 - 0
EST
72%
18%
10%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
EST
2 - 0
MOR
53%
25%
22%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
União Madeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
UNM
0 - 1
PAÇ
28%
26%
46%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
UNM
0 - 0
ARO
46%
27%
27%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
MOR
0 - 0
UNM
51%
26%
23%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2015 |
UNM
0 - 0
VIT
24%
26%
50%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 0
UNM
63%
22%
15%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |