Estoril vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.5%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
15.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
MAR
0 - 1
EST
36%
26%
38%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2018 |
OLI
0 - 1
EST
24%
26%
50%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
EST
1 - 0
FAR
69%
20%
11%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
EST
1 - 0
SPC
73%
18%
9%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2018 |
BEN
1 - 0
EST
31%
26%
43%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
PEN
2 - 3
FAR
54%
26%
20%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
VAR
3 - 4
PEN
36%
29%
36%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
PEN
3 - 2
VSC
46%
27%
27%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
PAÇ
2 - 0
PEN
62%
23%
16%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
PEN
1 - 4
VST
24%
24%
52%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |