Estoril vs Ovarense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
15.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
BMA
3 - 1
EST
49%
24%
27%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
EST
0 - 1
OLH
55%
24%
22%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2005 |
CHA
1 - 3
EST
29%
26%
44%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2005 |
VAR
1 - 0
EST
37%
26%
37%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
EST
2 - 1
MOR
44%
27%
29%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Ovarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
OVA
1 - 3
FCM
37%
25%
38%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
SPC
2 - 0
OVA
45%
26%
29%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
OVA
4 - 4
MAI
38%
25%
37%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
FEI
2 - 3
OVA
55%
24%
22%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
OVA
1 - 1
SAN
44%
25%
31%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |