Estoril vs Leixões analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.9%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.6%
12.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
BRA
0 - 1
EST
27%
27%
46%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
EST
4 - 0
POR
65%
21%
15%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
FAR
0 - 2
EST
24%
24%
52%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
EST
2 - 1
NAC
45%
24%
31%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
FEI
0 - 0
EST
40%
28%
33%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Leixões
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
LEX
0 - 1
VAR
45%
27%
28%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
BEN
2 - 1
LEX
51%
24%
25%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2018 |
SCF
0 - 3
LEX
15%
23%
61%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
FEI
3 - 2
LEX
51%
25%
25%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
ACA
0 - 0
LEX
47%
26%
27%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |