Estoril vs Belenenses SAD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
17.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
EST
0 - 0
SPB
15%
22%
63%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
SAN
2 - 0
EST
52%
26%
22%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
EST
1 - 2
VIZ
47%
25%
28%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
SLB
2 - 1
EST
79%
14%
7%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
EST
2 - 0
POR
51%
25%
24%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Belenenses SAD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
BEL
1 - 0
VIZ
30%
26%
44%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
SLB
3 - 1
BEL
82%
13%
5%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
BEL
2 - 0
POR
36%
28%
36%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
SAN
0 - 0
BEL
66%
22%
12%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
BEL
0 - 0
BOA
26%
27%
47%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |