Estoril vs Casa Pia AC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
7.2%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
POR
2 - 2
EST
24%
26%
50%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
EST
3 - 1
VIL
76%
16%
8%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
VIZ
1 - 1
EST
32%
27%
41%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2021 |
EST
3 - 0
OLI
72%
18%
10%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
COV
2 - 3
EST
17%
26%
57%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Casa Pia AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
CAS
0 - 3
ACA
34%
28%
37%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2021 |
MAF
0 - 4
CAS
52%
25%
23%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 2
CHA
28%
27%
46%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
SPC
0 - 0
CAS
49%
26%
25%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2021 |
PEN
1 - 1
CAS
58%
24%
18%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |