Estonia U21 vs San Marino U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
8%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
12.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estonia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2015 |
EST
1 - 2
KAZ
33%
25%
43%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
FRA
6 - 0
EST
85%
13%
3%
|
35 | 82 | 47 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
EST
2 - 1
LTU
39%
26%
36%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +2 |
| 22 Jan. 2015 |
EST
2 - 3
MDA
30%
26%
45%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2015 |
TUK
3 - 1
EST
14%
19%
67%
|
37 | 11 | 26 | -3 |
Matches
San Marino U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2015 |
SMR
0 - 3
GEO
20%
22%
58%
|
17 | 50 | 33 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2014 |
FIN
5 - 0
SMR
74%
17%
9%
|
17 | 54 | 37 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
SMR
0 - 0
FIN
20%
23%
57%
|
17 | 54 | 37 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2013 |
ENG
9 - 0
SMR
91%
7%
2%
|
17 | 80 | 63 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2013 |
MDA
2 - 0
SMR
66%
19%
14%
|
17 | 45 | 28 | 0 |