Campeonato de Portugal Grupo D Jor. 5

Estarreja vs Cinfães analysis

Estarreja Cinfães
33 ELO 39
-7.3% Tilt -10.8%
21693º General ELO ranking 20554º
371º Country ELO ranking 281º
ELO win probability
33.4%
Estarreja
24.2%
Draw
42.4%
Cinfães

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.4%
Win probability
Estarreja
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
42.4%
Win probability
Cinfães
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Estarreja
Cinfães
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Estarreja
Estarreja
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Sep. 2013
LUS
Lusitania FC
1 - 0
Estarreja
EST
61%
21%
18%
33 38 5 0
22 Sep. 2013
EST
Estarreja
1 - 5
Cinfães
CIN
40%
24%
36%
35 38 3 -2
15 Sep. 2013
EST
Estarreja
3 - 1
Cesarense
CES
50%
23%
27%
34 33 1 +1
08 Sep. 2013
GRI
Grijó
3 - 1
Estarreja
EST
40%
25%
35%
36 32 4 -2
01 Sep. 2013
SAN
Santiago
0 - 1
Estarreja
EST
39%
25%
37%
37 32 5 -1

Matches

Cinfães
Cinfães
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Sep. 2013
CIN
Cinfães
1 - 1
Anadia
ANA
61%
20%
19%
40 32 8 0
22 Sep. 2013
EST
Estarreja
1 - 5
Cinfães
CIN
40%
24%
36%
38 35 3 +2
15 Sep. 2013
ESP
Espinho
1 - 1
Cinfães
CIN
65%
20%
15%
38 46 8 0
08 Sep. 2013
LUS
Lusitania FC
1 - 0
Cinfães
CIN
46%
25%
30%
39 38 1 -1
25 Aug. 2013
CIN
Cinfães
2 - 0
Cesarense
CES
59%
22%
19%
41 34 7 -2
X