Estarreja vs Aguiar da Beira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
9.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estarreja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
GRI
2 - 0
EST
28%
26%
46%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
EST
0 - 0
PEN
69%
19%
12%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
UNI
0 - 0
EST
57%
23%
21%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
EST
1 - 0
ALB
65%
20%
14%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
SAM
0 - 1
EST
19%
23%
59%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Aguiar da Beira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
AGU
1 - 0
SAL
15%
21%
64%
|
20 | 42 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
GDP
2 - 0
AGU
23%
23%
55%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
OLI
4 - 2
AGU
74%
15%
11%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
AGU
1 - 3
GRI
36%
25%
39%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
PEN
1 - 2
AGU
64%
20%
16%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | +1 |