AF Braga Divisão Honra Round 5

Esposende vs Roriz FC analysis

Esposende Roriz FC
22 ELO 18
1.2% Tilt -2%
20322º General ELO ranking 26670º
312º Country ELO ranking 705º
ELO win probability
73%
Esposende
15.9%
Draw
11.1%
Roriz FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73%
Win probability
Esposende
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
11.1%
Win probability
Roriz FC
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Esposende
-16%
-43%
Roriz FC

ELO progression

Esposende
Roriz FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Esposende
Esposende
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Oct. 2014
VIA
Viatodos
1 - 2
Esposende
ESP
9%
17%
74%
23 9 14 0
28 Sep. 2014
ESP
Esposende
2 - 0
Tadim FC
TAD
88%
9%
3%
23 9 14 0
20 Sep. 2014
SOA
Soarense
0 - 1
Esposende
ESP
12%
18%
70%
23 11 12 0
14 Sep. 2014
ESP
Esposende
2 - 1
MARCA
MAR
87%
9%
4%
22 10 12 +1
10 Mar. 2013
MAR
Marinhas
4 - 0
Esposende
ESP
67%
19%
15%
22 30 8 0

Matches

Roriz FC
Roriz FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Oct. 2014
ROR
Roriz FC
0 - 0
Martim AFC
MAR
25%
23%
52%
18 25 7 0
28 Sep. 2014
FOR
Forjães
3 - 0
Roriz FC
ROR
74%
16%
10%
18 27 9 0
21 Sep. 2014
ROR
Roriz FC
2 - 0
Cabreiros SC
CAB
22%
22%
56%
16 24 8 +2
14 Sep. 2014
VCH
Vila Cha UD
1 - 1
Roriz FC
ROR
68%
18%
15%
16 20 4 0